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Good, Bad and Ugly: Pitt
I'm curious about what IU fans think about the remainder of your schedule and your tourney chances (I'm living vicariously through our rivals for obvious reasons this season.)
I notice that all seven of your wins in conference are against the bottom half. You seem to have a forgiving schedule this year because MSU / OSU / PU / Wisc (the top half ex-IU) account for only 7 of your 18 games. You have a brutal four-game stretch approaching after tonight.
I also note that although Illinois' record is ugly our strength of schedule on Sagarin is #4 in the country while IU's is #150. And although we have no offense to speak of all of our BT losses (ex-OSU in the opener) are by fewer than 10 pts solely because of defense.
I tend to agree that tonight will be a slow, ugly game. We're due to win one of those, especially after playing very well against Purdue on Saturday and losing because of a breakout frosh performance.
Frankly I'm pretty surprised that IU hasn't thrashed more sub-par opponents (like the Illini) this season (though the Iowa win was pretty decisive.) Is the consensus, per this post, that Sampson isn't running an offense that employs his talent optimally? I've seen you against only Kentucky, Illinois and Wisconsin so far so can't really tell if this is the trend. I was rather puzzled at his substitution choices down the stretch against UCLA last March.
How optimistic are fans about the NCAAs this year?
All that being said, I can't agree with your assessment of our "forgiving" BigTen schedule. Granted, we play Purdue only once, but we play all the other teams at the top of the conference twice. Considering IU is in the top half of the BigTen, that eliminates the possibility of 2 games against conference leaders-being that we can't play ourselves.
Unless the Hoosiers show dramatic improvement over the next month, we'll need a good draw and some luck to make it to the second weekend.
I focused on the lopsidedness of the slate... the fact that only one out of the first eight was against a top-five team and now you face six of the last ten against the cream (though four of those are at home.)
On a positive note, however, this late-season rigor and the BTT will really toughen the team for March.
Are you saying that Sampson in general lacks a systematic offensive set and largely ad libs to free Gordon? The criticism among Illini fans is that Weber has stubbornly run the motion variant without recognizing that he has no perimeter game this year and that he should instead ad lib the offense to an extent. And that he's inflexible about zone D. Echoes of Knight's influence, I guess.
Yeah, that's the consensus. Unfortunately, IU is too often stagnant or one-dimensional on offense, and it's hard not to feel like Gordon's talent is being wasted at times.
As for the schedule and hope for the NCAA's, there is a lot about this team that needs to improve. I think the Miz said it best just above.
I'm simply reduced to hoping that our freshman and sophs get lots of playing time from here on out. It has been along time since I felt that way in early February...
1. additional scorers and he mentions Bassett
2. area needign most improvement ==> defense
3. what he is focusing on ==> effort and toughness
I have been pushing the idea of zone for awhile now so I agree especially if they add a serious half court trap. This way I think we can play McGee and Crawford serious minutes to take our offense beyond 2 players
I think it's going to be a tough one to win, but I think we squeak out with some FTs at the end.
1. I really worry about DJ getting into foul trouble on the road. A lot of teams are flopping when he backs down in the post.
2. Same goes for EJ, although he's been penetrating less and less aggressively as the year has worn on. He needs to get to the line, but he needs to be wary of charges.
3. We have to watch out for Meacham. That little bastard can hit 3s, and I don't want to lose because we can't recover and defend the 3.
Indiana 65
Illinois 58